Vaccinations and fiscal support should lift the global economy in 2021, but several risks call for careful portfolio positioning.

The pandemic has amplified long-term disruptors, making credit selection and alpha generation increasingly important.

Major economies are contracting, but extraordinary policy responses could limit severe recessions to this year.

Our baseline economic forecast is a U-shaped global recovery, but substantial unknowns remain.

The outlook for the global economy has improved over the past three months, but there may be less capacity to combat a recession when it comes. We discuss seven key macroeconomic themes we expect in 2020 and implications for investors.

The global economy is about to enter a period of vulnerability. Will it end in recession or recovery?

Major secular drivers could disrupt the global economy and financial markets over the next three to five years. We share our views on risks and opportunities ahead.

We believe short-term interest rates in the U.S. are now anchored in The New Neutral, as global growth keeps synching lower.