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Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses the factors that typically cause volatility to increase at year-end, but says we likely won’t see a repeat of the level of volatility that roiled financial markets at the end of last year.
For an extended discussion of our views on investing in the current environment, please watch the latest “View From the Investment Committee” video with Group CIO Dan Ivascyn.
Group Chief Investment Officer
Focusing on high quality and liquidity when taking risk in portfolios will be key in 2023, as pressure on monetary policy remains intense.
High quality fixed income investments can help center portfolios while offering attractive yield potential amid a likely recession in 2023.
Resilient assets with attractive yields can help portfolios stay centered in 2023, when we expect inflation to moderate, central bank policy to steady, and a recession to take hold.
We expect further weakening in U.S. home prices, although not a sharp decline, as higher mortgage rates pressure affordability and induce many homeowners not to move.
Traditional channels of liquidity for commercial real estate have collapsed, providing attractive opportunities for distressed investors.
The European Central Bank is likely to continue hiking rates next year, but the end point remains uncertain.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to pause rate hikes in 2023. At least three factors will drive the decision on when and at what rate to pause.
How we’re thinking about investing against a backdrop of inflation uncertainty, geopolitical tension, and likely recession.
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